How over is it?

A mood ring wired to real instruments

AI exposure Computer and mathematical

Will AI replace actuaries?

Actuaries. US occupation 15-2011.

5.4%

of the time actuaries spend on their work goes on tasks where AI is already being used to do that work.of actuaries' working hours go on tasks AI has already started taking off their plate.

Ranked 244 of 756 US occupations. More exposed than 67% of them.Further along than 67% of them.

Average US job 7.7%

Around the middle of the pack.Keeping pace with the average job.

What AI already does for actuariesWhat actuaries no longer do alone

O*NET lists 14 tasks for actuaries. AI use at work shows up in 1 of them. Each score runs from 0.5, where every observed use helps a person with the task, to 1, where every use does the task outright.

  1. Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant.Core task automated and assisted 0.68

What it does not touch, yetWhat still needs a human

13 of the 14 tasks show no AI use at work in the data.

  • Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.Core task
  • Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business.Core task
  • Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.Core task
  • Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.Core task
  • Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies.Core task
  • Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.Core task
Show the other 7
  • Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public.Core task
  • Negotiate terms and conditions of reinsurance with other companies.Core task
  • Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.Core task
  • Testify before public agencies on proposed legislation affecting businesses.Core task
  • Explain changes in contract provisions to customers.
  • Manage credit and help price corporate security offerings.
  • Testify in court as expert witness or to provide legal evidence on matters such as the value of potential lifetime earnings of a person disabled or killed in an accident.

How that compares

Among the 21 computer and mathematical occupations, actuaries rank 21. The group averages 37.9%, and its most exposed job is Computer Programmers at 74.5%. The average US occupation sits at 7.7%.

All 756 occupations, ranked

Just above in the ranking

  1. 240Protective Service Workers, All Other 5.7%
  2. 242First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers 5.6%
  3. 243Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 5.5%

Just below

  1. 247Athletic Trainers 5.3%
  2. 247Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary 5.3%
  3. 249Nurse Midwives 5.2%

What this does and does not mean

Exposure is observed use, not a forecast. Anthropic maps work conversations with Claude onto the tasks O*NET lists for each job and asks, of the tasks AI could speed up, which are actually being used for at work. A use that does the task outright counts in full and a use that assists a person counts half. The task scores are averaged into the occupation figure by the share of time spent on each task.

A high figure means AI is already part of how this work gets done. It does not mean anyone has been replaced. Anthropic's own reading of the labour market finds no systematic rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting exposed jobs.No measurable rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting these jobs. Gap years for everyone. Labor market impacts, 5 March 2026.

Task list and titles from O*NET 31.0 by the US Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, used under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Scores from the Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Checked 1 November 2026. How the ranking works.