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AI exposure Production

Will AI replace bakers?

Bakers. US occupation 51-3011.

0.0%

of the time bakers spend on their work goes on tasks where AI is already being used to do that work.of bakers' working hours go on tasks AI has already started taking off their plate.

Ranked 346 of 756 US occupations. No AI use seen in the work yet, along with 410 other occupations.No handover started yet, along with 410 other occupations.

Average US job 7.7%

Among the least exposed jobs there are.Still waiting for liberation.

What AI already does for bakersWhat bakers no longer do alone

O*NET lists 18 tasks for bakers. None of them shows meaningful AI use at work yet.

What it does not touch, yetWhat still needs a human

18 of the 18 tasks show no AI use at work in the data.

  • Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.Core task
  • Apply glazes, icings, or other toppings to baked goods, using spatulas or brushes.Core task
  • Check equipment to ensure that it meets health and safety regulations, and perform maintenance or cleaning, as necessary.Core task
  • Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.Core task
  • Check the quality of raw materials to ensure that standards and specifications are met.Core task
  • Combine measured ingredients in bowls of mixing, blending, or cooking machinery.Core task
Show the other 12
  • Decorate baked goods, such as cakes or pastries.Core task
  • Measure or weigh flour or other ingredients to prepare batters, doughs, fillings, or icings, using scales or graduated containers.Core task
  • Observe color of products being baked, and adjust oven temperatures, humidity, or conveyor speeds accordingly.Core task
  • Place dough in pans, molds, or on sheets, and bake in production ovens or on grills.Core task
  • Roll, knead, cut, or shape dough to form sweet rolls, pie crusts, tarts, cookies, or other products.Core task
  • Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.Core task
  • Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.Core task
  • Develop new recipes for baked goods.
  • Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
  • Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
  • Order or receive supplies or equipment.
  • Prepare or maintain inventory or production records.

How that compares

Among the 98 production occupations, bakers rank 20. The group averages 0.8%, and its most exposed job is Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers at 12.1%. The average US occupation sits at 7.7%.

All 756 occupations, ranked

Level with 0.0%

  1. 346Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 0.0%
  2. 346Avionics Technicians 0.0%
  3. 346Bailiffs 0.0%

What this does and does not mean

Exposure is observed use, not a forecast. Anthropic maps work conversations with Claude onto the tasks O*NET lists for each job and asks, of the tasks AI could speed up, which are actually being used for at work. A use that does the task outright counts in full and a use that assists a person counts half. The task scores are averaged into the occupation figure by the share of time spent on each task.

A high figure means AI is already part of how this work gets done. It does not mean anyone has been replaced. Anthropic's own reading of the labour market finds no systematic rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting exposed jobs.No measurable rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting these jobs. Gap years for everyone. Labor market impacts, 5 March 2026.

Task list and titles from O*NET 31.0 by the US Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, used under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Scores from the Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Checked 1 November 2026. How the ranking works.