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AI exposure Protective service

Will AI replace first-line supervisors of correctional officers?

First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers. US occupation 33-1011.

3.2%

of the time first-line supervisors of correctional officers spend on their work goes on tasks where AI is already being used to do that work.of first-line supervisors of correctional officers' working hours go on tasks AI has already started taking off their plate.

Ranked 293 of 756 US occupations. More exposed than 60% of them.Further along than 60% of them.

Average US job 7.7%

Around the middle of the pack.Keeping pace with the average job.

What AI already does for first-line supervisors of correctional officersWhat first-line supervisors of correctional officers no longer do alone

O*NET lists 23 tasks for first-line supervisors of correctional officers. AI use at work shows up in 2 of them. Each score runs from 0.5, where every observed use helps a person with the task, to 1, where every use does the task outright.

  1. Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations.Core task mostly automated 0.98
  2. Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports.Core task automated and assisted 0.72

What it does not touch, yetWhat still needs a human

21 of the 23 tasks show no AI use at work in the data.

  • Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary.Core task
  • Conduct evaluations of employees' performance.Core task
  • Conduct roll calls of correctional officers.Core task
  • Convey correctional officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors.Core task
  • Develop work or security procedures.Core task
  • Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations.Core task
Show the other 15
  • Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training.Core task
  • Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws.Core task
  • Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public.Core task
  • Rate behavior of inmates, promoting acceptable attitudes and behaviors to those with low ratings.Core task
  • Resolve problems between inmates.Core task
  • Respond to emergencies, such as escapes.Core task
  • Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary.Core task
  • Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention.Core task
  • Set up employee work schedules.Core task
  • Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours.Core task
  • Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates.Core task
  • Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items.Core task
  • Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations.Core task
  • Take, receive, or check periodic inmate counts.Core task
  • Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses.Core task

How that compares

Among the 21 protective service occupations, first-line supervisors of correctional officers rank 4. The group averages 1.2%, and its most exposed job is Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers at 12.3%. The average US occupation sits at 7.7%.

All 756 occupations, ranked

Just above in the ranking

  1. 290Social Scientists and Related Workers, All Other 3.3%
  2. 290Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 3.3%
  3. 293Cutting and Slicing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 3.2%

Just below

  1. 297Architectural and Engineering Managers 3.1%
  2. 297Dentists, General 3.1%
  3. 299First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 3.0%

What this does and does not mean

Exposure is observed use, not a forecast. Anthropic maps work conversations with Claude onto the tasks O*NET lists for each job and asks, of the tasks AI could speed up, which are actually being used for at work. A use that does the task outright counts in full and a use that assists a person counts half. The task scores are averaged into the occupation figure by the share of time spent on each task.

A high figure means AI is already part of how this work gets done. It does not mean anyone has been replaced. Anthropic's own reading of the labour market finds no systematic rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting exposed jobs.No measurable rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting these jobs. Gap years for everyone. Labor market impacts, 5 March 2026.

Task list and titles from O*NET 31.0 by the US Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, used under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Scores from the Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Checked 1 November 2026. How the ranking works.