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AI exposure Production

Will AI replace first-line supervisors of production and operating workers?

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers. US occupation 51-1011.

0.0%

of the time first-line supervisors of production and operating workers spend on their work goes on tasks where AI is already being used to do that work.of first-line supervisors of production and operating workers' working hours go on tasks AI has already started taking off their plate.

Ranked 346 of 756 US occupations. No AI use seen in the work yet, along with 410 other occupations.No handover started yet, along with 410 other occupations.

Average US job 7.7%

Among the least exposed jobs there are.Still waiting for liberation.

What AI already does for first-line supervisors of production and operating workersWhat first-line supervisors of production and operating workers no longer do alone

O*NET lists 20 tasks for first-line supervisors of production and operating workers. AI use at work shows up in 1 of them, though too little of the job's time goes on them to register in the exposure figure. Each score runs from 0.5, where every observed use helps a person with the task, to 1, where every use does the task outright.

  1. Evaluate employee performance.Core task automated and assisted 0.72

What it does not touch, yetWhat still needs a human

19 of the 20 tasks show no AI use at work in the data.

  • Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.Core task
  • Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.Core task
  • Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.Core task
  • Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.Core task
  • Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.Core task
  • Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.Core task
Show the other 13
  • Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.Core task
  • Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.Core task
  • Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.Core task
  • Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.Core task
  • Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.Core task
  • Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.Core task
  • Plan and develop new products and production processes.Core task
  • Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.Core task
  • Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.Core task
  • Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.Core task
  • Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.Core task
  • Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.Core task
  • Set up and adjust machines and equipment.Core task

How that compares

Among the 98 production occupations, first-line supervisors of production and operating workers rank 40. The group averages 0.8%, and its most exposed job is Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers at 12.1%. The average US occupation sits at 7.7%.

All 756 occupations, ranked

Level with 0.0%

  1. 346First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers 0.0%
  2. 346First-Line Supervisors of Gambling Services Workers 0.0%
  3. 346First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 0.0%

What this does and does not mean

Exposure is observed use, not a forecast. Anthropic maps work conversations with Claude onto the tasks O*NET lists for each job and asks, of the tasks AI could speed up, which are actually being used for at work. A use that does the task outright counts in full and a use that assists a person counts half. The task scores are averaged into the occupation figure by the share of time spent on each task.

A high figure means AI is already part of how this work gets done. It does not mean anyone has been replaced. Anthropic's own reading of the labour market finds no systematic rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting exposed jobs.No measurable rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting these jobs. Gap years for everyone. Labor market impacts, 5 March 2026.

Task list and titles from O*NET 31.0 by the US Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, used under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Scores from the Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Checked 1 November 2026. How the ranking works.