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AI exposure Management

Will AI replace transportation?

Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers. US occupation 11-3071.

9.6%

of the time transportation spend on their work goes on tasks where AI is already being used to do that work.of transportation's working hours go on tasks AI has already started taking off their plate.

Ranked 189 of 756 US occupations. More exposed than 74% of them.Further along than 74% of them.

Average US job 7.7%

Well above the typical job.Ahead of most of the workforce.

What AI already does for transportationWhat transportation no longer do alone

O*NET lists 60 tasks for transportation. AI use at work shows up in 4 of them. Each score runs from 0.5, where every observed use helps a person with the task, to 1, where every use does the task outright.

  1. Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.Core task mostly automated 1.00
  2. Resolve problems concerning transportation, logistics systems, imports or exports, or customer issues.Core task mostly automated 0.98
  3. Analyze all aspects of corporate logistics to determine the most cost-effective or efficient means of transporting products or supplies.Core task mostly automated 0.94
  4. Analyze expenditures and other financial information to develop plans, policies, or budgets for increasing profits or improving services.Core task mostly automated 0.87

What it does not touch, yetWhat still needs a human

56 of the 60 tasks show no AI use at work in the data.

  • Advise sales and billing departments of transportation charges for customers' accounts.Core task
  • Analyze information about supplier performance or procurement program success.Core task
  • Analyze inventories to determine how to increase inventory turns, reduce waste, or optimize customer service.Core task
  • Analyze the financial impact of proposed logistics changes, such as routing, shipping modes, product volumes or mixes, or carriers.Core task
  • Collaborate with other departments to integrate logistics with business systems or processes, such as customer sales, order management, accounting, or shipping.Core task
  • Confer with department heads to coordinate warehouse activities, such as production, sales, records control, or purchasing.Core task
Show the other 50
  • Confer with supply chain planners to forecast demand or create supply plans that ensure availability of materials or products.Core task
  • Define performance metrics for measurement, comparison, or evaluation of supply chain factors, such as product cost or quality.Core task
  • Design or implement plant warehousing strategies for production materials or finished products.Core task
  • Design or implement supply chains that support business strategies adapted to changing market conditions, new business opportunities, or cost reduction strategies.Core task
  • Design or implement supply chains that support environmental policies.Core task
  • Design, implement, or oversee product take back or reverse logistics programs to ensure products are recycled, reused, or responsibly disposed.Core task
  • Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials.Core task
  • Develop and document standard and emergency operating procedures for receiving, handling, storing, shipping, or salvaging products or materials.Core task
  • Develop or implement plans for facility modification or expansion, such as equipment purchase or changes in space allocation or structural design.Core task
  • Develop or implement procedures or systems to evaluate or select suppliers.Core task
  • Develop procedures for coordination of supply chain management with other functional areas, such as sales, marketing, finance, production, or quality assurance.Core task
  • Diagram supply chain models to help facilitate discussions with customers.Core task
  • Document physical supply chain processes, such as workflows, cycle times, position responsibilities, or system flows.Core task
  • Establish or monitor specific supply chain-based performance measurement systems.Core task
  • Evaluate and select information or other technology solutions to improve tracking and reporting of materials or products distribution, storage, or inventory.Core task
  • Evaluate contractors or business partners for operational efficiency or safety or environmental performance records.Core task
  • Examine invoices and shipping manifests for conformity to tariff and customs regulations.Core task
  • Identify opportunities to reuse or recycle materials to minimize consumption of new materials, minimize waste, or to convert wastes to by-products.Core task
  • Identify or qualify new suppliers in collaboration with other departments, such as procurement, engineering, or quality assurance.Core task
  • Implement new or improved supply chain processes to improve efficiency or performance.Core task
  • Implement specific customer requirements, such as internal reporting or customized transportation metrics.Core task
  • Inspect physical conditions of warehouses, vehicle fleets, or equipment and order testing, maintenance, repairs, or replacements.Core task
  • Interview, select, and train warehouse and supervisory personnel.Core task
  • Maintain metrics, reports, process documentation, customer service logs, or training or safety records.Core task
  • Manage activities related to strategic or tactical purchasing, material requirements planning, controlling inventory, warehousing, or receiving.Core task
  • Meet with suppliers to discuss performance metrics, to provide performance feedback, or to discuss production forecasts or changes.Core task
  • Monitor forecasts and quotas to identify changes and predict effects on supply chain activities.Core task
  • Monitor inventory levels of products or materials in warehouses.Core task
  • Monitor product import or export processes to ensure compliance with regulatory or legal requirements.Core task
  • Monitor suppliers' activities to assess performance in meeting quality or delivery requirements.Core task
  • Negotiate prices and terms with suppliers, vendors, or freight forwarders.Core task
  • Negotiate with carriers, warehouse operators, or insurance company representatives for services and preferential rates.Core task
  • Participate in the coordination of engineering changes, product line extensions, or new product launches to ensure orderly and timely transitions in material or production flow.Core task
  • Plan or implement energy saving changes to transportation services, such as reducing routes, optimizing capacities, employing alternate modes of transportation, or minimizing idling.Core task
  • Plan, develop, or implement warehouse safety and security programs and activities.Core task
  • Plan, organize, or manage the work of subordinate staff to ensure that the work is accomplished in a manner consistent with organizational requirements.Core task
  • Prepare and manage departmental budgets.Core task
  • Prepare management recommendations, such as proposed fee and tariff increases or schedule changes.Core task
  • Review or update supply chain practices in accordance with new or changing environmental policies, standards, regulations, or laws.Core task
  • Select transportation routes to maximize economy by combining shipments or consolidating warehousing and distribution.Core task
  • Supervise the activities of workers engaged in receiving, storing, testing, and shipping products or materials.Core task
  • Appraise vendor manufacturing capabilities through on-site observations or other measurements.
  • Conduct or oversee the conduct of life cycle analyses to determine the environmental impacts of products, processes, or systems.
  • Direct inbound or outbound operations, such as transportation or warehouse activities, safety performance, and logistics quality management.
  • Forecast material costs or develop standard cost lists.
  • Investigate or review the carbon footprints and environmental performance records of current or potential storage and distribution service providers.
  • Locate or select biodegradable, non-toxic, or other environmentally friendly raw materials for manufacturing processes.
  • Plan or implement improvements to internal or external systems or processes.
  • Recommend or authorize capital expenditures for acquisition of new equipment or property to increase efficiency and services.
  • Review invoices, work orders, consumption reports, or demand forecasts to estimate peak performance periods and to issue work assignments.

How that compares

Among the 35 management occupations, transportation rank 15. The group averages 9.8%, and its most exposed job is Financial Managers at 39.1%. The average US occupation sits at 7.7%.

All 756 occupations, ranked

Just above in the ranking

  1. 187Library Assistants, Clerical 9.8%
  2. 188Microbiologists 9.7%
  3. 189Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other 9.6%

Just below

  1. 192Nurse Practitioners 9.4%
  2. 193Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 9.3%
  3. 193Veterinarians 9.3%

What this does and does not mean

Exposure is observed use, not a forecast. Anthropic maps work conversations with Claude onto the tasks O*NET lists for each job and asks, of the tasks AI could speed up, which are actually being used for at work. A use that does the task outright counts in full and a use that assists a person counts half. The task scores are averaged into the occupation figure by the share of time spent on each task.

A high figure means AI is already part of how this work gets done. It does not mean anyone has been replaced. Anthropic's own reading of the labour market finds no systematic rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting exposed jobs.No measurable rise in unemployment among exposed workers so far, and about 14% fewer 22 to 25 year olds starting these jobs. Gap years for everyone. Labor market impacts, 5 March 2026.

Task list and titles from O*NET 31.0 by the US Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, used under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Scores from the Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Checked 1 November 2026. How the ranking works.